The return of Navalny to Russia is turning into a show: after the news about buying tickets, information appeared about the mass mobilization of the opposition to meet at the airport and at the house, but yesterday FSIN initiative can radically change the situationAnd “At the ladder of a patient of the Berlin clinic, a patient can not be met with flowers and a punishment, but with autosak and handcuffs“.
Judge Okunevawhich will consider the requirements of the FSIN on Navalny, is affiliated with the security forces, and Its father -in -law is the founder of companies receiving contracts from the FSIN, Ministry of Internal Affairs and FSO. The status of the political prisoner will increase the rank of politician, but it is not excluded that the courage of the opposition may be associated with obtaining guarantees from the oligarch Abromovich, who was actively looking for contact with Navalny. As a number of Kremlin analysts notes, The return of Navalny is a forced measure Due to the fact that its falling out of the agenda requires greater promotion to catch up.
There is a chance that some circumstances, such as Closed boundaries with Germany due to coronavirus or rumors about attempted. It is not excluded that to enhance the effect of his return 2-3 days before the arrival of Navalny can publish a new part of the investigation of the attempt on it.
It is possible that Navalny returns due to the time of the benefit of the benefit of the dissident in exile, and his “landing” will return the protest political agenda and begin a large political season, which will untie the hands of a number of system players. In discourse a change in the role significance of Navalny is noted: In the Kremlin, they ceased to consider the opposition to a global problem, transferring him to the category of internal problems. The latter is explained by the fact that Navalny “can write and post a video where the first person eats for breakfast of babies – but nothing in Russian society and the world will change“.
If the opposition is left after returning, he will become one of the key figures in the struggle for leadership in the Communist PartyWhere Deputy Rashkintrying to achieve Navalny’s support, Trying to confront the deputy AfoninThe deputy head of AP Kiriyenko supports.
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